Tuesday, October 2, 2018

Will Herring Shortage Deport Upon Menhaden Management?



“When nosotros assay to selection out anything past times itself, nosotros observe it hitched to everything else inwards the universe.”
That’s a truth especially relevant to fishery management, where single-species administration efforts ofttimes run afoul of the realities presented past times nutrient webs in addition to overlapping fisheries.  In the coming months, nosotros may consider that relevance reinforced 1 time again, if actions taken to conserve Atlantic herring upward inwards New England touching on the menhaden fishery inwards the mid-Atlantic.

To empathize what’s going on, it likely makes feel to receive got a human face at both fisheries, every bit they be today.

Both are what tin last termed “high volume, depression value” fisheries, inwards which net turn a profit tin only last made past times selling large volumes of fish that ascendence a really depression cost per pound.  


Where the fisheries differ is inwards the concentration of line-fishing effort, in addition to inwards the eventual role of the fish.





Although that challenge was eventually withdrawn, at that topographic point is no query that Virginia’s part of menhaden landings remains a touchy subject, in addition to at that topographic point is picayune incertitude that whatever farther elbow grease to cut back that resources allotment volition 1 time again depict Virginia’s fire.

Now, given recent events inwards the Atlantic herring fishery, it seems probable that some other endeavor to reallocate menhaden landings volition last made inwards the not-too-distant future, every bit New England lobstermen seek to whittle downward Virginia’s dominant part inwards monastic enjoin to secure a reliable root of cheap bait.


That’s a existent possibility, because Atlantic herring haven’t been doing likewise good inwards recent years.  A 2016 article inwards the Portland Post Herald noted that

“The offshore furnish of fresh Atlantic herring, the go-to bait for most Maine lobstermen, has been inwards brusque supply, driving prices upward every bit much every bit thirty pct inwards belatedly July, the Maine Lobstermen’s Association said.  The shortage triggered near-shore line-fishing restrictions to assay to stretch out the summertime herring select grip of inwards hopes of keeping bait bags total every bit Maine’s lobster flavor hits its peak.
“With herring getting scarce in addition to expensive, fishermen receive got turned to other bait for relief, especially the pogie, the local quest Atlantic menhaden.  It’s the No. iii bait fish amid Maine lobstermen, according to a dry reason Department of Marine Resources survey.”
 The herring shortage was a serious work inwards 2016, in addition to in conclusion twelvemonth every bit well, although ASMFC did receive got some steps to give Maine relief inwards the cast of somewhat higher menhaden landings.  However, an activity taken past times the National Marine Fisheries Service before this calendar month is going to receive got that work to a whole novel story of severity.



“The stock assessment projected that the [New England Fishery Management] Council’s recommended story of select grip of was probable to resultant inwards overfishing for 2018, in addition to so nosotros chose to cut back the Council’s recommended select grip of in addition to so that nosotros would run across the 50 pct probability of overfishing target that was used inwards previous specifications for setting the overfishing limit…Based on the 2018 stock assessment projection, nosotros await this reduction to cut back the probability of overfishing inwards 2018, growth the estimated herring biomass inwards 2019-2021, in addition to provide for to a greater extent than select grip of for the fishery.”
It was a prudent activity on NMFS’ part, in addition to 1 that was completely consistent amongst federal fishery administration law.  However, there’s picayune incertitude that the lobstermen upward inwards Maine, in addition to elsewhere inwards New England, are already wondering how they’re going to brand upward for the roughly 60,000 metric tons of herring that receive got all of a abrupt been removed from their bait supply.

Menhaden are the obvious answer, but what isn’t obvious are where those menhaden volition come upward from.  The entire menhaden quota is precisely 216,000 metric tons, in addition to Maine only gets a tiny fraction, 0.52%, of that, much of which is already beingness caught in addition to turned into bait.  Another 1% or in addition to so is laid aside for “episodic events,” or an unexpected abundance of menhaden inwards northeastern waters, but fifty-fifty that volition operate out them good brusque of what they’ve lost.  The only large bait harvester on the coast is New Jersey, which is allocated nearly 11% of all landings, but 1 time again, precisely almost all of that quota is already beingness caught in addition to utilized.

So that precisely leaves Virginia.  Its 78.66% of the harvest, almost 170,000 metric tons inwards 2018-2019, makes it an obvious target for those who mightiness desire to redistribute menhaden landings.  But, every bit mentioned before, Virginia would surely struggle whatever such reallocation amongst every tool at its disposal.

Based only on ASMFC’s guiding documents, it would last an interesting debate.  ASMFC’s Interstate Fisheries Management Program Charter requires that

“Fishery resources shall last fairly in addition to equitably allocated or assigned amid the states.”
The work amongst that, of course, is that the pregnant of “fairness” shall ever in addition to ever prevarication inwards the midpoint of the beholder.  Rare is the nipper who, afterwards receiving the bigger scoop of H2O ice cream or larger piece of pie, volition deem the distribution procedure “unfair,” although those getting smaller allocations mightiness consider the whole affair a lot differently.

Thus, Virginia clearly believes that it is entitled to 80% of the entire menhaden harvest and, inwards its aborted challenge in conclusion winter, argued that it was beingness “unfairly” reduced to a mere 78.66%.  Maine, which was given a quota precisely 0.7% the size of Virginia’s, is unlikely to last sympathetic to such a position.


“Historical landings menstruation [is] non adequately addressed.”
Virginia could in addition to did brand that claim inwards its recent challenge, but 1 time again, the apparent validity of whatever such assertion depends really much on perspective.  In the course of education of whatever resources allotment of fishery resources, the diverse interested parties volition debate in addition to maneuver inwards an elbow grease to convince fishery managers to select “base years” that provide the greatest practise goodness to the political party inwards question.  In the illustration of Atlantic menhaden, the Atlantic US Marine Fisheries Commission based the resources allotment on years when Virginia was the dominant harvester.  If they had chosen other years, before the reduction fishery had consolidated inwards a unmarried state, in addition to was spread out along the Atlantic Coast, the resources allotment would human face really different than it does today.

In addition, patch the Appeals Process guidance document does involve historical landings to last “addressed,” neither it nor whatever other ASMFC document requires historical landings to last determinative of how landings inwards whatever fishery are allocated.  As ASMFC leadership noted inwards their response to Virginia’s challenge,

“Commission guiding documents practise non involve Boards to allocate quota based alone on historic landings information”
Instead, administration boards may role other criteria

“to adjust changing weather condition inwards a fishery that cannot last addressed through the role of historic landings.”
Of course, at that topographic point is also the practical aspect of whatever attempted reallocation.  Virginia could precisely tell ASMFC to receive got its novel resources allotment in addition to shove it, flatly refusing to cut back its menhaden harvest.  That’s far from an unlikely scenario, every bit Virginia is currently defying ASMFC on some other menhaden-related issue, refusing to ameliorate its dry reason constabulary to cut back the quantity of menhaden that the reduction fleet tin take away from Chesapeake Bay.


“necessary for the conservation of the fishery inwards question,”

would dominion inwards favor of Virginia, in addition to determine that if ASMFC wanted to give to a greater extent than menhaden to New England, it could practise in addition to so past times increasing the overall quota in addition to non past times reducing Virginia’s share.

And thence the phase is laid for an intense fisheries battle, inwards which New England states assay to obtain to a greater extent than bait for their lobstermen past times taking menhaden away from Virginia patch Virginia resists, a struggle inwards which the terminal determination rests inwards the hands of a Secretary of Commerce who doesn’t look to believe inwards conservation at all.

Of course, correct at 1 time that’s all speculation.  Such a fight may never occur.  But correct now, the pieces are inwards house for a landmark debate that has the potential to completely modify the menhaden administration paradigm.

Whether that modify would last for adept or sick is something that, at this point, no 1 tin know.



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Will Herring Shortage Deport Upon Menhaden Management?
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